With all of the big Oscar films being released in the next few weeks, and most already released limited, it seems easy as this point to predict the 5. Weeks ago it was extremely murky, the best picture race was as cloudy as ever. A year ago at this time, No Country for Old Men was winning every precursor and seemed like a lock come Oscar night, sure enough, it beat out the crowd pleasing Juno, along with Atonement, Michael Clayton, and There Will Be Blood.
Last year I thought, who has seen these films? None of them except for Juno had made for than 100 million at the box-office. This year, Oscar could go a different route, if my predictions are correct.
Best Picture
Slumdog Millionaire: The little indie that could. In limited release right now, this film when released nationwide, will excite and thrill audiences. A strong crowd pleaser that will send audiences out out on a high. Most films from last year were bleak in tone and in themes. Slumdog is not sunshine and rainbows, but the films comes full circle at the end.
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button: Once the film is released on Christmas Day, it will either make people flock to see it, or it will be polarizing. The film is long, but most movie-goers can stand the 167 minute running time with this great cast. Pitt, Blanchett, Swinton, I expect greatness.
Frost/Nixon: This film could reach audiences with its topic of Richard Nixon. It's a Ron Howard film, he usually does well at the box-office, with past successes at Apollo 13, Cinderella Man, and A Beautiful Mind. Some critics are saying that this is Howard's best film, if so, this should be nominated.
Milk: Has been praised by critics, just needs a wider released to attract audiences. Penn and Brolin will both received nominations. It's just a matter of time before its announced as a nominee.
The Dark Knight The 500 million dollar film WILL receive a nomination, and that's its prize, even though Ledger will have won earlier in the night.
Alternates, in order...
Doubt, Revolutionary Road, Rachel Getting Married
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